Toast Inc Stock Performance
| TOST Stock | USD 31.09 0.02 0.06% |
The entity has a beta of -0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Toast are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Toast is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Toast Inc has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to validate Toast's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Toast Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Toast Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.0643 | Five Day Return (8.50) | Year To Date Return (8.55) | Ten Year Return (50.23) | All Time Return (50.23) |
1 | Assessing Toasts Valuation After Securing TGI Fridays and everbowl Partnerships | 11/24/2025 |
2 | IBM, Toast, AppLovin And An Industrial Stock On CNBCs Final Trades | 12/10/2025 |
3 | Does Toast Have Profitable Growth Potential | 12/26/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 4748 shares by Jonathan Vassil of Toast subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Why the Market Dipped But Toast Gained Today | 01/07/2026 |
6 | Toast Delivers Precision Insights, Action, and Efficiency for Retailers | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Toast Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know | 01/13/2026 |
8 | Is It Too Early To Reconsider Toast After Recent Share Price Weakness | 01/21/2026 |
9 | Toast Announces Release Date Of Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results | 01/22/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 2572 shares by Brian Elworthy of Toast subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/26/2026 |
11 | Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Sells 48,282 Shares of Toast, Inc. TOST | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 747 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -39 M |
Toast Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,572 in Toast Inc on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (463.00) from holding Toast Inc or give up 12.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Toast Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.692% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Toast, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Toast Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Toast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.09 | 90 days | 31.09 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toast to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Toast Inc probability density function shows the probability of Toast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Toast Inc has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Toast are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Toast Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Toast Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Toast Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Toast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toast Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Toast Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toast Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Toast Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toast Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Toast Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toast Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Sells 48,282 Shares of Toast, Inc. TOST |
Toast Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 591 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Toast Fundamentals Growth
Toast Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toast, and Toast fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toast Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0606 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 16.89 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 515 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 9.30 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.12 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.96 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.51 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 108 M | ||||
| Net Income | 19 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.18 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.28 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 34 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.43 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 360 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.44 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 18.28 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.6 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.16 B | ||||
About Toast Performance
Assessing Toast's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Toast's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Toast is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 10.28 | 11.18 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Things to note about Toast Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Toast Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Toast Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toast Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Sells 48,282 Shares of Toast, Inc. TOST |
- Analyzing Toast's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Toast's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Toast's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Toast's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Toast's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Toast's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Toast's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Toast Stock Analysis
When running Toast's price analysis, check to measure Toast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toast is operating at the current time. Most of Toast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.